Jimmy Butler Points - Player Prop Bet 5/12/2025

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Jimmy Butler

NBA · Player Props

Jimmy Butler

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves · May 12, 2025

Updated May 13, 2025 1:48 AM EST

Analysis

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jimmy Butler has compiled 31.0 points per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 9.8 higher than he's compiled over the course of the season at home.
Jimmy Butler has successfully made 1.6 treys per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's sunk overall this year.
Jimmy Butler has averaged 42.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 7.1 higher than he's averaged overall this year at home.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with 12.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Jimmy Butler has attempted 12.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 3.6 more than he's attempted over the course of the year at home.

Favors Under

The Golden State Warriors check in as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.
This year, the other team's starting SFs have shot 40.6% on shot attempts from the field (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Timberwolves, branding this as a difficult matchup.
The 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Warriors.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the slowest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Golden State Warriors.
This year, opposing starting SFs have attempted 2.4 free throws per game (10th-lowest in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

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