Jimmy Butler Points - Player Prop Bet 5/10/2025

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Jimmy Butler

NBA · Player Props

Jimmy Butler

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves · May 10, 2025

Updated May 11, 2025 12:34 AM EST

Analysis

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jimmy Butler has averaged 30.0 points per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 9.6 more than he's averaged over the course of the season at home.
Jimmy Butler has converted 45.5% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games, 10.4% higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year.
Jimmy Butler has averaged 41.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 6.5 more than he's averaged overall this year at home.
The Golden State Warriors have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
Jimmy Butler has attempted 14.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 5.2 more than he's attempted in all games this season at home.

Favors Under

The Warriors rank as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The matchup against the Timberwolves is a hard one for scoring; the opposition's starting SFs have posted the 3rd-lowest field goal rate in the league this year (40.6%).
The Golden State Warriors have played at the slowest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Timberwolves have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Golden State Warriors.
The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves is a tough one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.4 foul shots per game this year (10th-least in the NBA).

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