Jimmy Butler Points - Player Prop Bet 5/8/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Jimmy Butler

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors · May 8, 2025

Updated May 9, 2025 12:28 AM EST

Analysis

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jimmy Butler has made 45.5% of his 3-point shots over the last 15 games, 10.7% more than he's converted from downtown overall this year.
Jimmy Butler has attempted 3.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.
Jimmy Butler has been on the court for 30.8 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The Golden State Warriors have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Among all players in the league, Jimmy Butler slots into the 98th percentile for getting to the foul line, putting up an enormous 6.7 foul shots per game away from his home court this year.

Favors Under

As it relates to shooting, the Warriors's lackluster 91.0 points per game as the away team settles in as the lowest in the league over the last 5 games.
The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves is a tough one; they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (14.5).
The Golden State Warriors have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which should decrease plays for the Warriors.
This year when they are on the road, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 3.1 foul shots per game (9th-fewest in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, struggling to get to the free-throw line.