Jimmy Butler Points - Player Prop Bet 5/6/2025

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Jimmy Butler

NBA · Player Props

Jimmy Butler

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors · May 6, 2025

Updated May 7, 2025 1:18 AM EST

Analysis

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -109 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jimmy Butler has scored 23.0 points per game over the last 10 games, 5.1 more than he's scored in all games this year.
Jimmy Butler has converted 47.4% of his three-pointers over the last 15 games, 12.4% higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year.
Jimmy Butler has been on the court for 31.0 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The Warriors have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jimmy Butler has attempted 9.9 foul shots per game over the last 10 games, 2.6 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.

Favors Under

When it comes to offense, the Warriors's feeble 45.0% field goal percentage settles in as the 5th-fewest in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a challenging one; they have allowed the least points per game in the league to opposing starting PFs this year (14.5).
The Warriors have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Golden State Warriors will likely experience a decrease in plays today from facing the 3rd-slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Timberwolves).
The matchup vs. Minnesota is a hard one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 3.1 foul shots per game this year when the Minnesota Timberwolves are on their home court (9th-least in the NBA).

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