Jimmy Butler Points - Player Prop Bet 5/4/2025

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Jimmy Butler

NBA · Player Props

Jimmy Butler

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors · May 4, 2025

Updated May 5, 2025 3:58 AM EST

Analysis

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jimmy Butler has posted 22.0 points per game over the last 10 games, 4.1 more than he's posted in all games this year.
Jimmy Butler has successfully made 46.2% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games, 11.7% more than he's converted from three overall this season.
Jimmy Butler has averaged 30.7 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
The Warriors check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
Jimmy Butler has attempted 10.1 foul shots per game over the last 10 games, 2.7 higher than he's attempted overall this season.

Favors Under

As it relates to offense, the Warriors's poor 45.0% field goal rate comes in as the 5th-worst in the NBA this year.
The matchup against the Rockets is a difficult one for three-pointers; the other team's starting PFs have put up the lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (21.7%).
The 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Warriors.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games on their home court, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Golden State Warriors.
Jimmy Butler will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to decrease stat production in all facets of the game.

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