Jimmy Butler Points - Player Prop Bet 4/30/2025

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Jimmy Butler

NBA · Player Props

Jimmy Butler

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors · Apr 30, 2025

Updated May 1, 2025 3:58 AM EST

Analysis

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-137/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jimmy Butler has averaged 24.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.7 more than he's averaged overall this year.
Jimmy Butler has made 54.2% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games, 18.7% more than he's converted overall this year.
Jimmy Butler has been on the court for 30.9 minutes per game on the road this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
Offensive rebounds save possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 5th-best in in the league with 12.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Jimmy Butler has attempted 9.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 higher than he's attempted overall this year.

Favors Under

The Warriors rank as the 5th-least efficient shooting team in the league this year.
The matchup against the Rockets is a hard one for three-point shots; the other team's starting PFs have posted the lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (21.7%).
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 6th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Rockets have played at the 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should reduce possessions for the Golden State Warriors.
Jimmy Butler will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city tends to decrease stat production across the board.

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