Jimmy Butler Points - Player Prop Bet 4/28/2025

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Jimmy Butler

NBA · Player Props

Jimmy Butler

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets · Apr 28, 2025

Updated Apr 29, 2025 2:03 AM EST

Analysis

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jimmy Butler has scored 25.6 points per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 6.1 higher than he's scored overall this season at home.
Jimmy Butler has made 54.2% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 10 games, 19.0% higher than he's converted from downtown overall this year.
Jimmy Butler has tallied 38.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 4.4 more than he's tallied overall this season at home.
The Warriors check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jimmy Butler has attempted 10.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 2.6 higher than he's attempted overall this year at home.

Favors Under

When it comes to shooting, the Warriors's feeble 106.4 points per game ranks 9th-lowest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 21.7% on 3-pointers (worst in the NBA) against the Houston Rockets, branding this as a tough matchup.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 6th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.

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