Jimmy Butler Points - Player Prop Bet 4/23/2025

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Jimmy Butler

NBA · Player Props

Jimmy Butler

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors · Apr 23, 2025

Updated Apr 24, 2025 1:33 AM EST

Analysis

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-137/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jimmy Butler has put up 29.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 11.0 higher than he's put up overall this year.
Jimmy Butler has made 53.7% of his treys over the last 10 games, 18.5% more than he's made from three over the course of the year.
Jimmy Butler has averaged 39.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.1 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season.
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 4th-best in the NBA on the road with 13.0 offensive boards per game this year.
Jimmy Butler has attempted 12.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 4.9 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.

Favors Under

With respect to scoring, the Warriors's feeble 45.2% field goal rate ranks 6th-worst in the NBA this year.
This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 21.7% on three-pointers (weakest in the league) against the Rockets, resulting in a tough matchup.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 6th-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 5 games.
The Warriors will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 9th-slowest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Houston Rockets).
Jimmy Butler will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually lowers stat production for all stats.

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