Jimmy Butler Points - Player Prop Bet 4/11/2025

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Jimmy Butler

NBA · Player Props

Jimmy Butler

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Golden State Warriors · Apr 11, 2025

Updated Apr 12, 2025 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jimmy Butler has successfully made 70.8% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games, 35.9% higher than he's made over the course of the year.
Jimmy Butler has tallied 31.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 84th percentile.
The Trail Blazers have played at the speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should boost plays for the Warriors.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 2nd-best in in the NBA when playing away from home with 15.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Out of all players in the NBA, Jimmy Butler registers in the 98th percentile for drawing fouls, registering a massive 7.0 free throw attempts per game this year.

Favors Under

Jimmy Butler has compiled a measly 17.2 points per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 20.7 points per game last season.
In terms of offense, the Warriors's subpar 45.1% field goal rate comes in as the 5th-lowest in the NBA this year.
This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 29.6% on threes (4th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Trail Blazers, designating this as a difficult matchup.
The 7th-slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Warriors.
Jimmy Butler will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to worsen player production in all stat categories.

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