Jimmy Butler Points - Player Prop Bet 4/8/2025

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Jimmy Butler

NBA · Player Props

Jimmy Butler

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors · Apr 8, 2025

Updated Apr 9, 2025 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jimmy Butler has made 56.7% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 23.2% higher than he's made over the course of the year.
Among all players in the league, Jimmy Butler measures in the 84th percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 31.5 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year.
Jimmy Butler has been called for 1.0 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the lowest-fouling players in the league (22nd percentile).
The Warriors have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Jimmy Butler has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 16.4% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year.

Favors Under

With respect to scoring, the Warriors's subpar 45.1% field goal rate comes in as the 5th-weakest in the NBA this year.
The matchup against the Suns is a challenging one for threes; the other team's starting PFs have posted the 3rd-lowest three rate in the league this year (29.1%).
The 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play road team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Golden State Warriors.
The Golden State Warriors are expected to see a decline in possessions today from facing the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Phoenix Suns).
Jimmy Butler ought to suffer a reduction in output for all stats in light of playing away from home in this matchup.

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