Jimmy Butler Points - Player Prop Bet 4/3/2025

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Jimmy Butler

NBA · Player Props

Jimmy Butler

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors · Apr 3, 2025

Updated Apr 4, 2025 2:04 AM EST

Analysis

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (+104/-139).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jimmy Butler has played 31.4 minutes per game while on the road this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
Among all players in the league, Jimmy Butler registers in the 22nd percentile for personal fouls, posting just 1.0 fouls per game this year.
This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled 5.6 three attempts per game (highest in the league) against the Los Angeles Lakers, labeling this as a good matchup.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.6 offensive boards per game this year.
Jimmy Butler has converted 6.9 free throws per game over the last 15 games on the road, 1.0 higher than he's made overall this season when playing away from home.

Favors Under

In comparison to last year's 13.3 rate, Jimmy Butler's shots have dropped this year to 11.0 per game.
With respect to offense, the Warriors's unimpressive 45.1% field goal rate measures as the 5th-lowest in the league this year.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Warriors.
Over the last 15 games, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.2 foul shots per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Lakers, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.
Jimmy Butler is expected to see a decline in effectiveness for all stats due to being on the road in this matchup.

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