Jimmy Butler Points - Player Prop Bet 3/30/2025

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Jimmy Butler

NBA · Player Props

Jimmy Butler

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 30, 2025

Updated Mar 31, 2025 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-115/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jimmy Butler has attempted 13.6 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 higher than he's attempted overall this season.
Jimmy Butler has played 31.4 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
The Warriors have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jimmy Butler has attempted 8.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's attempted overall this year.

Favors Under

Compared to last year's 43.2% rate, Jimmy Butler's 3-point proficiency has decreased this year to 30.4%.
With respect to shooting, the Golden State Warriors's unimpressive 106.6 points per game ranks 5th-fewest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, opposing starting PFs have notched 13.0 points per game (4th-lowest in the league) against the Spurs, creating a challenging matchup for offensive performance.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from home.
Jimmy Butler will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to decrease player performance across the board.

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