Jimmy Butler Points - Player Prop Bet 3/28/2025

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Jimmy Butler

NBA · Player Props

Jimmy Butler

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 28, 2025

Updated Mar 28, 2025 10:54 PM EST

Analysis

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-113/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jimmy Butler has attempted 14.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 3.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.
Jimmy Butler has tallied 31.3 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
Among all players in the NBA, Jimmy Butler ranks in the 23rd percentile for personal fouls, tallying only 1.0 fouls per game this year.
The Golden State Warriors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
Jimmy Butler has sunk 91.5% of his foul shots over the last 15 games on the road, 8.5% more than he's converted in all games this year without the home court advantage.

Favors Under

The Golden State Warriors check in as the 3rd-least efficient shooting team in the league over the last 5 games.
This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled 3.4 3-point attempts per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) against the Pelicans, creating a difficult matchup.
The Warriors have played at the 9th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games as the away team.
The Golden State Warriors will likely suffer a reduction in plays today from squaring off against the 4th-least up-tempo pace home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Pelicans).
Jimmy Butler ought to suffer a drop-off in efficiency across the board as a result of playing on the visting team in this contest.

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