Jimmy Butler Points - Player Prop Bet 3/25/2025

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Jimmy Butler

NBA · Player Props

Jimmy Butler

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 25, 2025

Updated Mar 25, 2025 11:29 PM EST

Analysis

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jimmy Butler has attempted 3.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 more than he's attempted overall this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Jimmy Butler places in the 83rd percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 31.3 minutes per game this year.
The matchup vs. Miami is a good one for 3-point shots; when the Heat are on their home court, the opposition's starting PFs have shot for the highest 3-point rate in the league this year (46.4%).
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 10th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 3rd-best in the league as the visting team with 13.1 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

In contrast to last season's 13.3 rate, Jimmy Butler's shots from the field have fallen this season to 11.0 per game.
The Warriors rank as the 5th-least efficient shooting team in the league this year.
The Heat have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA on their home court this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Warriors.
Jimmy Butler ought to see a decline in productivity in all facets of the game due to being on the road in this matchup.

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