Jimmy Butler Points - Player Prop Bet 3/22/2025

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Jimmy Butler

NBA · Player Props

Jimmy Butler

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 22, 2025

Updated Mar 23, 2025 12:59 AM EST

Analysis

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-106/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jimmy Butler has successfully made 41.7% of his three-point attempts over the last 10 games, 9.5% higher than he's made from three overall this season.
Among all players in the league, Jimmy Butler places in the 83rd percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 31.3 minutes per game this year.
The matchup against Atlanta is a favorable one for 3-point shots; when the Hawks have the home court advantage, opposing starting SFs have put up the highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (60.1%).
The Warriors will likely get a boost in opportunities today from being pitted against the fastest pace home offense in the league this year (the Hawks).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 3rd-best in the league when playing on the road with 13.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

Jimmy Butler has attempted a mere 11.0 shots per game this year, significantly less than his 13.3 rate last year.
When it comes to shooting, the Warriors's poor 45.0% field goal rate settles in as the 5th-weakest in the league this year.
The 8th-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Warriors.
The matchup vs. the Hawks may be a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SFs have attempted just 2.0 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (least in the league).
Jimmy Butler ought to suffer a drop-off in productivity in all stat categories on account of playing away from home in this matchup.

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