Jimmy Butler Points - Player Prop Bet 3/20/2025

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Jimmy Butler

NBA · Player Props

Jimmy Butler

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Toronto Raptors · Mar 20, 2025

Updated Mar 21, 2025 1:58 AM EST

Analysis

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jimmy Butler has played 30.4 minutes per game at home this year, placing him in the 79th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
Among all players in the league, Jimmy Butler slots into the 23rd percentile for personal fouls, averaging a mere 1.0 fouls per game this year.
The matchup vs. Toronto is a strong one; when the Toronto Raptors are on the road, they have given up the most points per game in the league to opposing starting SFs this year (23.9).
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Golden State Warriors.
The Golden State Warriors rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Compared to last season's 20.7 mark, Jimmy Butler's points per game have fallen this season to 17.1.
In terms of offense, the Warriors's feeble 112.8 points per game on their home court ranks 10th-worst in the NBA this year.
The Warriors have played at the 7th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court.
Jimmy Butler has successfully made a mere 5.7 foul shots per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 6.6 rate last year.

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