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Jimmy Butler

Jimmy Butler Points
Player Prop - 3/17/2025

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Among all players in the NBA, Jimmy Butler measures in the 77th percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 30.0 minutes per game at home this year.
  • Among all players in the NBA, Jimmy Butler ranks in the 22nd percentile for personal fouls, averaging a mere 1.0 fouls per game this year.
  • The Warriors will likely see an increase in plays today from being pitted against the 6th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets).
  • The Golden State Warriors have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 3.2 foul shots per game (10th-most in the league) against the Nuggets, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Relative to last season's 20.7 mark, Jimmy Butler's points per game have fallen this season to 16.8.
  • The Warriors have been the 6th-least efficient shooting team in the league this year.
  • This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting SFs have totaled 1.1 3-pointers per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Nuggets, creating a challenging matchup.
  • Jimmy Butler has converted a mere 5.6 foul shots per game this season, quite a bit less than his 6.6 rate last season.

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