Jimmy Butler Points - Player Prop Bet 3/17/2025

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Jimmy Butler

NBA · Player Props

Jimmy Butler

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 17, 2025

Updated Mar 18, 2025 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Jimmy Butler measures in the 77th percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 30.0 minutes per game at home this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Jimmy Butler ranks in the 22nd percentile for personal fouls, averaging a mere 1.0 fouls per game this year.
The Warriors will likely see an increase in plays today from being pitted against the 6th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets).
The Golden State Warriors have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 3.2 foul shots per game (10th-most in the league) against the Nuggets, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

Relative to last season's 20.7 mark, Jimmy Butler's points per game have fallen this season to 16.8.
The Warriors have been the 6th-least efficient shooting team in the league this year.
This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting SFs have totaled 1.1 3-pointers per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Nuggets, creating a challenging matchup.
Jimmy Butler has converted a mere 5.6 foul shots per game this season, quite a bit less than his 6.6 rate last season.

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