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Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (+108/-148).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -148.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Among all players in the NBA, Jimmy Butler registers in the 77th percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 29.4 minutes per game while on his home court this year.Out of all players in the league, Jimmy Butler lands in the 21st percentile for personal fouls, totaling a measly 0.9 fouls per game this year.This year when they are at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 48.0% on threes (highest in the NBA) against the Knicks, designating this as a positive matchup.The Warriors have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).Jimmy Butler will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court generally improves player performance in all facets of the game.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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In comparison to last year's 13.3 rate, Jimmy Butler's shots from the field have dropped this year to 10.7 per game.The Knicks have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo in the league away from their home stadium this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Golden State Warriors.Jimmy Butler has converted a measly 5.6 foul shots per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 6.6 mark last year.As a team, the Warriors have been bad at drawing fouls while playing at home: 9th-worst in the league this year, averaging a mere 20.6 free throws per game.Over the last 10 games when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 2.5 free throws per game (7th-fewest in the league) against the New York Knicks, struggling to draw fouls.
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