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Jimmy Butler

Jimmy Butler Points
Player Prop - 3/13/2025

Golden State Warriors vs Sacramento Kings

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jimmy Butler has averaged 29.8 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.

Out of all players in the league, Jimmy Butler ranks in the 21st percentile for personal fouls, totaling just 1.0 fouls per game this year.

The matchup vs. the Kings is a positive one for three-point shots; the other team's starting SFs have averaged the 3rd-most shots from downtown per game in the league this year (2.3).

The Golden State Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

This year, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 3.1 foul shots per game (9th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings, easily managing to get to the foul line.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jimmy Butler has attempted a lowly 10.9 shots per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 13.3 rate last year.

The Golden State Warriors are expected to suffer a reduction in plays today from squaring off against the 2nd-slowest tempo visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings).

Jimmy Butler has converted a mere 5.7 free throws per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 6.6 rate last year.

As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been poor at getting to the charity stripe when playing at home: 8th-worst in the NBA this year, averaging just 20.4 foul shot attempts per game.

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