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Jimmy Butler

Jimmy Butler Points
Player Prop - 3/8/2025

Golden State Warriors vs Detroit Pistons

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-137/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -137.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Jimmy Butler lands in the 23rd percentile for personal fouls, tallying only 1.0 fouls per game this year.

The Warriors will likely see an increase in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the quickest pace offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Pistons).

The Golden State Warriors rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Out of all players in the NBA, Jimmy Butler rates in the 95th percentile for foul shots sunk on his home court, compiling a monstrous 4.0 per game since the start of last season.

The matchup against the Pistons may be a good one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a colossal 5.0 free throws per game over the last 10 games (6th-most in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jimmy Butler has totaled a mere 17.1 points per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 20.7 points per game last year.

This year, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied 3.0 three attempts per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Detroit Pistons, branding this as a hard matchup.

As a team, the Warriors have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the free-throw line playing at home: 4th-worst in the league this year, tallying a measly 19.7 foul shot attempts per game.

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