Jimmy Butler Points - Player Prop Bet 3/6/2025

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Jimmy Butler

NBA · Player Props

Jimmy Butler

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 6, 2025

Updated Mar 6, 2025 11:59 PM EST

Analysis

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jimmy Butler has tallied 30.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 81st percentile.
The faceoff with Cameron Johnson registers in the 100th percentile with the opposition's starting PFs nailing a whopping 41.5% of their three-point attempts this year.
The Warriors rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Brooklyn is a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a whopping 3.9 free throws per game this year when the Brooklyn Nets have the home court advantage (10th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Jimmy Butler has compiled a measly 16.8 points per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 20.7 points per game last year.
Jimmy Butler has successfully made a measly 0.4 treys per game this season, significantly lower than his 1.0 rate last season.
The matchup vs. the Brooklyn Nets is a difficult one; they have allowed the 3rd-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PFs this year (14.6).
The Warriors have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 20 games as the visting team.
The Golden State Warriors will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from squaring off against the most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Nets).

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