Jimmy Butler Points - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Jimmy Butler

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

New York Knicks vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 4, 2025

Updated Mar 5, 2025 12:25 AM EST

Analysis

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jimmy Butler has tallied 30.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 81st percentile.
Jimmy Butler has committed 1.0 personal fouls per game while on the road this year, putting him in the 24th percentile -- among the league's lowest-fouling.
The Warriors have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games as the visting team.
The Golden State Warriors are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 10th-quickest tempo home offense in the league over the last 10 games (the New York Knicks).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 2nd-best in in the NBA with 14.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

Relative to last year's 20.7 rate, Jimmy Butler's points per game have diminished this year to 16.8.
In comparison to last year's 1.0 clip, Jimmy Butler's 3-pointers hit have regressed this year to 0.4 per game.
The matchup against New York is a hard one for threes; when the New York Knicks have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PFs have put up the lowest three percentage in the league this year (18.6%).
As a team, the Warriors have been bad at getting to the foul line: 6th-worst in the NBA this year with a measly 21.0 free throw attempts per game.
The matchup vs. New York is a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted just 2.6 foul shots per game this year when the New York Knicks have the home court advantage (5th-least in the NBA).