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Jimmy Butler

Jimmy Butler Points
Player Prop - 2/12/2025

Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-175/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -175.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Jimmy Butler registers in the 86th percentile for scoring effectiveness while playing on the road with a phenomenal 54.1% rate this year.

Jimmy Butler has averaged 30.5 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 80th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.

Jimmy Butler has committed 1.0 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 24th percentile -- among the NBA's least-whistled.

The Golden State Warriors have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

The Golden State Warriors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against Dallas is a tough one for threes; when the Mavericks are at home, the other team's starting SFs have totaled the least 3-pointers per game in the NBA this year (0.8).

The Mavericks have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games on their home court, which ought to decrease possessions for the Warriors.

As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been bad at getting to the charity stripe: 7th-worst in the league this year with a measly 20.9 free throws per game.

This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 2.5 foul shots per game (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

Jimmy Butler ought to suffer a reduction in output across the board in light of playing away from home in this game.

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