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Jimmy Butler

Jimmy Butler Points
Player Prop - 12/20/2024

Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jimmy Butler has converted 62.5% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 6.1% higher than he's converted in all games this year.

Jimmy Butler has made 54.8% of his treys over the last 10 games, 17.0% higher than he's converted from three overall this season.

Jimmy Butler has averaged 32.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 84th percentile.

The Heat check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.

Out of all players in the NBA, Jimmy Butler ranks in the 99th percentile for getting to the charity stripe, averaging a massive 7.7 free throw attempts per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 25.5% on three-pointers (2nd-worst in the NBA) vs. the Thunder, making this a tough matchup.

The least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Miami Heat.

The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 10th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Miami Heat.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 10thworst in in the league with only 10.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

The matchup against Oklahoma may be a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.0 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Oklahoma City Thunder are the visiting squad (2nd-least in the NBA).

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