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Jimmy Butler

Jimmy Butler Points
Player Prop - 12/7/2024

Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jimmy Butler has scored 25.8 points per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 3.9 more than he's scored in all games this year at home.

Jimmy Butler has been on the court for 31.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 81st percentile.

With respect to scoring, the Miami Heat's outstanding 117.4 points per game while at home comes in as the 10th-most in the league over the last 5 games.

This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting SFs have shot 41.1% on threes (8th-best in the NBA) vs. the Suns, identifying this as a positive matchup.

Jimmy Butler has successfully made 8.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.5 higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season at home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 3rd-most sluggish pace team in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat.

The Suns have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA on the road this year, which ought to decrease plays for the Heat.

The Heat have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Suns may be a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a mere 1.6 free throws per game over the last 10 games (4th-least in the league).

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