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Jimmy Butler

Jimmy Butler Points
Player Prop - 12/4/2024

Miami Heat vs Los Angeles Lakers

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jimmy Butler has put up 27.8 points per game over the last 5 games at home, 5.3 higher than he's put up in all games this season at home.

Jimmy Butler has sunk 67.7% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 11.7% higher than he's sunk in all games this year.

Jimmy Butler has been on the court for 31.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 81st percentile.

When it comes to three-point attempts, the 6th-most aggressive team in the league on their home court this year has been the Heat.

The matchup against the Lakers is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; the other team's starting SFs have tallied the most three attempts per game in the league this year (5.8).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA while on their home court this year.

The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should decrease possessions for the Miami Heat.

The Heat have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Los Angeles Lakers may be a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 1.9 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (least in the NBA).

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