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Jimmy Butler

Jimmy Butler Points
Player Prop - 12/1/2024

Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (+112/-152).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ +112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jimmy Butler has tallied 23.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season.

Jimmy Butler has made 62.5% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 32.2% more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season.

In terms of offense, the Miami Heat's superb 112.7 points per game away from their home court comes in as the 10th-best in the NBA over the last 9 games.

The Toronto Raptors have played at the 8th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA on their home court this year, which should lead to more plays for the Miami Heat.

Jimmy Butler has attempted 10.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 more than he's attempted in all games this season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against Toronto is a hard one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Toronto Raptors are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled the least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.1).

The 4th-most sluggish tempo team in the NBA this year has been the Heat.

The Heat check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jimmy Butler will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally reduces stat production across the board.

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