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Jimmy Butler

Jimmy Butler Points
Player Prop - 11/8/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jimmy Butler has successfully made 54.0% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 7.0% more than he's made overall this year.

Among all players in the league, Jimmy Butler comes in at the 91st percentile for 3-point effectiveness with an exceptional 40.1% rate since the start of last season.

Out of all players in the NBA, Jimmy Butler measures in the 91st percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 34.1 minutes per game since the start of last season.

With respect to three-point attempts, the 9th-most aggressive team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Miami Heat.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which ought to increase possessions for the Heat.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against the Denver Nuggets is a challenging one for three-point attempts; the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the 4th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.9).

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the league this year.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 5thworst in in the league with a mere 9.4 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.

Over the last 20 games, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (5th-lowest in the NBA) against the Nuggets, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

Jimmy Butler will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium usually reduces player performance in all facets of the game.

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