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Jimmy Butler

Jimmy Butler Points
Player Prop - 10/28/2024

Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -122.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jimmy Butler has compiled 20.5 points per game since the start of last season, putting him in the company of the best players in the league by this standard: 90th percentile.

Jimmy Butler has sunk 42.2% of his shots from behind the three-point arc since the start of last season, placing him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the league.

Jimmy Butler has averaged 33.8 minutes per game while playing at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 88th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.

The matchup against Detroit is a strong one for three-point shots; when the Detroit Pistons are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SFs have posted the 4th-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (45.0%).

The Pistons have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA since the start of last season, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Heat.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 2nd-least up-tempo pace offense in the league since the start of last season has been the Miami Heat.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA with just 9.3 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.

The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting SFs vs. Tim Hardaway Jr. has been remarkably low since the start of last season (2.7 free throw attempts per game: 21st percentile).

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