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Jimmy Butler

Jimmy Butler Points
Player Prop - 4/12/2024

Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jimmy Butler has successfully made 45.4% of his 3-point attempts over the last 15 games at home, 8.5% higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season at home.

Jimmy Butler has averaged 34.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 93rd percentile.

With respect to three-pointers, the Miami Heat's outstanding 38.2% rate of made threes on their home court ranks 7th-highest in the NBA this year.

The matchup vs. Toronto is a good one; when the Raptors are the visiting squad, they have given up the most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SFs this year (23.9).

The Toronto Raptors have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should boost possessions for the Heat.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In contrast to last season's 8.0 mark, Jimmy Butler's shots from the field sunk have regressed this season to 6.6 per game.

The most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Miami Heat.

The Miami Heat rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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