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Jimmy Butler

Jimmy Butler Points
Player Prop - 4/10/2024

Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-136/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -136.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jimmy Butler has tallied 34.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 93rd percentile.

In regard to three-point shots, the Miami Heat's fantastic 38.1% rate of successful threes at home comes in as the 7th-strongest in the NBA this year.

The Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to boost opportunities for the Heat.

Jimmy Butler has successfully made 8.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's converted overall this year.

Jimmy Butler is expected to see a rise in productivity across the board as a result of enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Relative to last year's 8.0 rate, Jimmy Butler's field goals drained have fallen this year to 6.7 per game.

Over the last 15 games, the other team's starting SFs have posted 11.4 points per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Mavericks, resulting in a difficult matchup for offensive productivity.

The 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Heat.

The Heat have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. Dallas is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SFs have attempted just 1.6 free throws per game this year when the Mavericks are away from home (2nd-least in the league).

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