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Jimmy Butler

Jimmy Butler Points
Player Prop - 4/7/2024

Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-130/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, Jimmy Butler comes in at the 93rd percentile for three-point effectiveness with a great 42.1% rate this year.

Among all players in the league, Jimmy Butler slots into the 91st percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 33.4 minutes per game while on the road this year.

The Pacers have played at the speediest pace in the NBA on their home court this year, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Heat.

Among all players in the league, Jimmy Butler rates in the 99th percentile for getting to the foul line, registering an enormous 7.8 free throw attempts per game this year.

This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 4.0 foul shots per game (4th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Pacers, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jimmy Butler has attempted a lowly 13.4 field goals per game this year, significantly lower than his 15.6 mark last year.

The matchup vs. the Indiana Pacers is a difficult one for 3-point attempts; the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (2.9).

The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league while playing away from home this year.

The Miami Heat check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Jimmy Butler will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to lower player performance in all facets of the game.

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