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Jimmy Butler

Jimmy Butler Points
Player Prop - 4/5/2024

Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Jimmy Butler rates in the 92nd percentile for three-point performance with an impressive 42.3% rate this year.

Jimmy Butler has tallied 33.6 minutes per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 91st percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.

When it comes to 3-point attempts, the 7th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Heat.

The Houston Rockets have played at the 8th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should boost opportunities for the Heat.

Out of all players in the league, Jimmy Butler registers in the 99th percentile for getting to the charity stripe, putting up a massive 7.7 foul shots per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jimmy Butler has attempted just 13.4 field goals per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 15.6 rate last year.

The matchup against Houston is a difficult one for three-pointers; when the Rockets are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have put up the 2nd-lowest three rate in the NBA this year (26.1%).

The most sluggish tempo road team in the league this year has been the Heat.

The Miami Heat check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jimmy Butler will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court generally lowers player performance across the board.

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