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Jimmy Butler

Jimmy Butler Points
Player Prop - 4/4/2024

Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jimmy Butler has sunk 47.1% of his treys over the last 15 games at home, 10.9% higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season on his home court.

Out of all players in the NBA, Jimmy Butler places in the 93rd percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 34.0 minutes per game this year.

In regard to 3-pointers, the Heat's superb 38.3% rate of converted threes on their home court measures as the 6th-best in the league this year.

Among all players in the NBA, Jimmy Butler places in the 99th percentile for drawing fouls, logging a monstrous 7.8 free throws per game this year.

Jimmy Butler will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home generally improves player performance across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In comparison to last year's 8.0 clip, Jimmy Butler's field goals hit have regressed this year to 6.7 per game.

The matchup against the 76ers is a hard one; they have given up the least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SFs this year (11.3).

The Heat have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home city, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Heat.

Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 3rdworst in in the NBA with just 9.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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