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Jimmy Butler

Jimmy Butler Points
Player Prop - 2/23/2024

New Orleans Pelicans vs Miami Heat

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jimmy Butler has converted 67.6% of his three-point attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 10.7% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year while playing away from home.

Out of all players in the NBA, Jimmy Butler slots into the 89th percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 33.1 minutes per game when playing on the road this year.

The Miami Heat rank as the 10th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.

The Miami Heat are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from competing against the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).

Jimmy Butler has attempted 9.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted overall this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In contrast to last season's 15.6 rate, Jimmy Butler's field goal attempts have been reduced this season to 13.4 per game.

This year, opposing starting SFs have totaled 9.1 field goal attempts per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) against the Pelicans, resulting in a challenging matchup.

The Heat have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing away from home.

Offensive rebounds save possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 4thworst in in the league as the away team with only 9.4 offensive boards per game this year.

Playing at home, the New Orleans Pelicans have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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