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Jimmy Butler

Jimmy Butler Points
Player Prop - 1/29/2024

Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, Jimmy Butler rates in the 90th percentile, posting a whopping 21.0 points per game this year.

Jimmy Butler has sunk 56.8% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 7.5% more than he's made overall this year.

Out of all players in the league, Jimmy Butler registers in the 91st percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 33.6 minutes per game this year.

As it relates to three-point shots, the Miami Heat's impressive 40.4% rate of made threes while playing at home comes in as the best in the NBA over the last 20 games.

This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 41.1% on threes (23rd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Phoenix Suns, making this a strong matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The Miami Heat check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 5 games, opposing squads have brought down 14.0 offensive boards per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Suns (lengthening possessions that can lead to added chances for offense).

The matchup against the Phoenix Suns may be a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted just 1.6 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (11th-least in the league).

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