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Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-120/-110).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -110.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Jimmy Butler has converted 86.7% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games on the road, 32.0% more than he's made in all games this season while playing away from home.Jimmy Butler has been on the court for 33.1 minutes per game on the road this year, placing him in the 88th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.In regard to threes, the Miami Heat's terrific 38.4% rate of drained threes ranks 3rd-most in the league this year.The Toronto Raptors have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Heat.This year, opposing squads have snagged 10.1 offensive boards per game (5th-lowest in the NBA) against the Raptors (lessening possessions that could otherwise lead to more opportunities for offense).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Relative to last season's 8.0 clip, Jimmy Butler's shots from the field sunk have regressed this season to 6.6 per game.Jimmy Butler has tallied 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 more than he's tallied overall this year.This year when they are on the road, opposing starting SFs have totaled 3.1 3-point attempts per game (15th-fewest in the league) against the Raptors, labeling this as a tough matchup.The slowest pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Miami Heat.The Heat check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
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