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Jimmy Butler

Jimmy Butler Points
Player Prop - 12/18/2023

Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Jimmy Butler places in the 90th percentile, putting up an enormous 21.8 points per game this year.

Jimmy Butler has played 33.5 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 91st percentile.

The Heat rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.

This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 2.6 3-pointers per game (27th-highest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, branding this as a strong matchup.

This year when they are on their home court, opposing teams have come down with 9.3 offensive boards per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves (reducing possessions that could otherwise spark more opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Jimmy Butler places in the 12th percentile for three-point ability while at home with a a lackluster 18.3% rate this year.

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 15 games.

The Timberwolves have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to fewer plays for the Miami Heat.

The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 20 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 2.2 foul shots per game (13th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, struggling to draw fouls.

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