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Jimmy Butler

Jimmy Butler Points
Player Prop - 12/8/2023

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -122.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Relative to last season's 25.2 clip, Jimmy Butler's points per game have risen this season to 27.4.

In comparison to last year's 31.6% clip, Jimmy Butler's 3-point performance has spiked this year to 40.8%.

Jimmy Butler has averaged 33.4 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 88th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.

With respect to offense, the Miami Heat's fantastic 125.0 points per game away from home comes in as the 5th-highest in the league over the last 5 games.

The Heat have played at the 9th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. Cleveland is a tough one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Cavaliers are the visiting squad, opposing starting SFs have averaged the 13th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league since the start of last season (4.3).

The Miami Heat will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 9th-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Cavaliers).

The Miami Heat check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

This year when they are the visiting team, their opposition has collected 11.5 offensive boards per game (10th-highest in the league) against the Cavaliers (saving possessions that can generate more opportunities for offense).

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