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Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-120/-105).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -120.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Out of all players in the league, Jimmy Butler measures in the 88th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 32.8 minutes per game this year.Jimmy Butler has been called for 0.8 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 23rd percentile -- among the league's least-whistled.The Miami Heat rank as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league without the home court advantage this year.The Charlotte Hornets have played at the quickest pace in the league away from their home stadium this year, which should lead to more possessions for the Heat.This year, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 5.0 free throws per game (29th-most in the NBA) vs. the Hornets, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Compared to last season's 24.0 rate, Jimmy Butler's points per game have been reduced this season to 18.5.This year, the other team's starting SFs have tallied 3.3 3-point attempts per game (12th-fewest in the league) vs. the Charlotte Hornets, making this a difficult matchup.Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 10thworst in in the league without the home court advantage with only 9.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.This year, opposing teams have secured 11.8 offensive boards per game (9th-highest in the league) against the Hornets (retaining possessions that can spark further opportunities for offense).Jimmy Butler has sunk a measly 6.0 free throws per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 7.3 rate last year.
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