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Jimmy Butler

Jimmy Butler Points
Player Prop - 11/12/2023

San Antonio Spurs vs Miami Heat

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-140/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jimmy Butler has notched 22.1 points per game while on his home court since the start of last season, ranking him in the 92nd percentile -- among the league's best by this standard.

Out of all players in the league, Jimmy Butler ranks in the 79th percentile for field goal prowess with the home court advantage with a a great 51.5% rate since the start of last season.

Among all players in the NBA, Jimmy Butler comes in at the 93rd percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 34.5 minutes per game without the home court advantage since the start of last season.

The Miami Heat have been the 9th-most aggressive offense in the league since the start of last season with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc.

The {OPP_TEAM} are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 6th-most up-tempo pace home offense in the NBA this year (the San Antonio Spurs).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 30.7% on shot attempts from the field (15th-worst in the NBA) against the San Antonio Spurs, designating this as a hard matchup.

Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 7thworst in in the NBA while on their home court with only 8.6 offensive boards per game this year.

This year, opposing clubs have grabbed 12.5 offensive rebounds per game (6th-highest in the league) vs. the Spurs (retaining possessions that can result in added chances for offense).

This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 2.0 foul shots per game (13th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Spurs, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

Jimmy Butler will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling usually lowers player performance in all facets of the game.

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