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Jimmy Butler

Jimmy Butler Points
Player Prop - 6/7/2023

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jimmy Butler has attempted 20.5 field goals per game over the last 10 games playing at home, 4.8 higher than he's attempted overall this season at home.

Jimmy Butler has made 1.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season.

Jimmy Butler has averaged 40.0 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 5.6 more than he's averaged over the course of the season.

The Miami Heat check in as the 10th-most aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of 3-point attempts.

Jimmy Butler has attempted 8.7 free throws per game this year, placing him in the 99th percentile among all players in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a challenging one; they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SFs this year (13.4).

The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The Nuggets have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to fewer plays for the Heat.

The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

When playing away from home, the Nuggets have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

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