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Jimmy Butler

Jimmy Butler Points
Player Prop - 6/4/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-105/-125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jimmy Butler has attempted 20.2 field goals per game over the last 10 games while playing away from home, 5.1 higher than he's attempted overall this season on the road.

Jimmy Butler has converted 1.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season.

Jimmy Butler has been on the court for 40.0 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 5.7 more than he's been on the court for in all games this season.

The Miami Heat have been the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA while on the road this year in terms of 3-point attempts.

The Nuggets have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.3) in the league to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a tough one; they have given up the 12th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SFs this year (13.3).

The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

The Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 20 games at home, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Heat.

The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a challenging one for getting to the free throw line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.2 foul shots per game this year (14th-least in the league).

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