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Jimmy Butler

Jimmy Butler Points
Player Prop - 5/23/2023

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jimmy Butler has made a whopping 53.4% of his field goals this year, a big improvement over his 47.9 mark last year.

Jimmy Butler has averaged 40.2 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.2 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.

The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc.

The Celtics have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (7.6) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jimmy Butler has converted 8.4 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 1.0 more than he's converted in all games this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. the Celtics is a hard one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting PFs have put up the 6th-lowest field goal rate in the NBA this year (45.8%).

The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

The Celtics have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Heat.

The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Celtics is a hard one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.6 foul shots per game this year (11th-least in the NBA).

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