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Jimmy Butler

Jimmy Butler Points
Player Prop - 5/21/2023

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jimmy Butler has averaged 30.5 points per game over the last 10 games while playing at home, 5.2 higher than he's averaged in all games this season at home.

Jimmy Butler has successfully made a whopping 53.6% of his shots from the field this year, quite a bit higher than his 47.9 rate last year.

Jimmy Butler has tallied 41.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.4 more than he's tallied in all games this season.

The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games as it relates to three-point attempts.

The Celtics have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (8.7) in the league to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jimmy Butler has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's accumulated in all games this season.

The matchup vs. the Celtics is a hard one for field goals; the other team's starting PFs have shot for the 11th-lowest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (45.6%).

The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA this year.

The Celtics have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Heat.

The Miami Heat have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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