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Jimmy Butler

Jimmy Butler Points
Player Prop - 5/19/2023

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-124/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ +102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jimmy Butler has scored 31.1 points per game over the last 10 games, 6.9 more than he's scored over the course of the year.

Jimmy Butler has successfully made 61.5% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games on the road, 6.9% higher than he's converted in all games this year away from his home court.

Jimmy Butler has played 38.2 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.3 higher than he's played overall this season.

The Miami Heat check in as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage as it relates to attempts from downtown.

The matchup vs. Boston is a favorable one for threes; when the Celtics have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied the 23rd-most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league this year (1.7).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.

The Celtics have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Heat.

The Miami Heat check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. Boston is a hard one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.2 foul shots per game this year when the Celtics are at home (15th-least in the league).

Jimmy Butler will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling generally worsens stat production for all stats.

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