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Jimmy Butler

Jimmy Butler Points
Player Prop - 5/17/2023

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-118/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jimmy Butler has averaged 31.1 points per game over the last 10 games, 7.0 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season.

Jimmy Butler has converted 60.8% of his field goals over the last 15 games on the road, 6.0% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season away from his home court.

Jimmy Butler has played 33.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 91st percentile.

The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage when it comes to attempts from downtown.

With the home court advantage, the Celtics have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (7.2) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. the Celtics is a tough one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting PFs have posted the 9th-lowest Field Goal% in the league this year (45.8%).

The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games while playing on the road.

The Celtics have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should decrease possessions for the Heat.

The Miami Heat check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup against Boston is a hard one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.2 foul shots per game this year when the Celtics are on their home court (15th-least in the NBA).

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