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Jimmy Butler

Jimmy Butler Points
Player Prop - 4/19/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-110/-120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jimmy Butler has scored 27.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 higher than he's scored over the course of the year.

Jimmy Butler has successfully made 66.5% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 11.5% more than he's made overall this year while playing on the road.

Jimmy Butler has averaged 33.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 90th percentile.

The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA while playing on the road this year when it comes to 3-point attempts.

The Bucks have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should boost opportunities for the Heat.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against the Bucks is a difficult one for field goals; the opposition's starting PFs have posted the 15th-lowest field goal rate in the league this year (41.9%).

The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing on the road.

The Miami Heat check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

The Bucks have given up the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.8) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Bucks is a difficult one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.6 foul shots per game this year (15th-least in the league).

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