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Jimmy Butler

Jimmy Butler Points
Player Prop - 3/29/2023

New York Knicks vs Miami Heat

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jimmy Butler has posted 27.8 points per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 6.2 more than he's posted in all games this year on the road.

Jimmy Butler has sunk 57.9% of his 3-pointers over the last 15 games, 23.7% higher than he's made in all games this season.

Jimmy Butler has played 32.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 89th percentile.

The Miami Heat rank as the 9th-most aggressive offense in the league on the road this year as it relates to three-point attempts.

The matchup against New York is a positive one for field goal attempts; when the Knicks are at home, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the 30th-most shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (13.7).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The Knicks have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league on their home court this year, which ought to reduce plays for the Heat.

The Miami Heat rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Jimmy Butler will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage usually lowers player production across the board.

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