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Jimmy Butler

Jimmy Butler Points
Player Prop - 1/10/2023

Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jimmy Butler has successfully made 9.4 baskets per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.6 more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season while playing at home.

Jimmy Butler has attempted 7.6 free throws per game this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile out of all players in the league.

Jimmy Butler has played 34.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 92nd percentile.

The Miami Heat check in as the 9th-most aggressive offense in the NBA on their home court this year as it relates to three-point attempts.

The Heat have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league this year on the road, which should raise [OPPORTUNITIES_POSSESSIONS] for the Thunder.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Thunder have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (12.3) in the league to the other team this year (which also eliminates additional chances for scoring and assists).

The Miami Heat rank as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while on their home court this year (which also reduces additional chances for scoring and assists).

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA this year.

The matchup vs. the Thunder is a tough one for field goals; when playing away from home, the opposing team's starting SFs have compiled the lowest field goal percentage in the NBA since the start of last season (41.2%).

The matchup vs. the Thunder may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SFs have attempted just 3.0 free throws per game since the start of last season (6th-least in the league).

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